Governor-elect Tom Wolf is going to have a rough first year in office. He faces enormous fiscal and policy challenges, is only the second governor in modern times to have both legislative chambers controlled by the opposition party, and has to work with a legislature more ideologically conservative than any of his predecessors. Indeed, a tough first year simply reflects modern
Modern gubernatorial history suggests the initial year doesn't matter much in predicting a governor's ultimate fate. In fact, there is even some evidence that un-mixed success in the initial year may auger re-election problems.